Facts for You

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 Several media outlets have informed us that President Donald Trump was most concerned by a Fox News broadcast he watched on Friday 31 October 2025, on his way to Florida aboard Air Force One for a weekend at his Mar-A-Lago estate. Soon after his arrival in West Palm Beach, Trump re-designated Nigeria as a “Country of Particular Concern” under the International Religious Freedom Act 1988, whereupon it joined China, Cuba, Iran, North Korea, Russia, and Saudi Arabia for their alleged violations of religious freedom. Trump had already done so during his first administration in 2020, only for ex-President Biden to remove Nigeria from the list of designated countries in 2021. The enraged President took to Truth Social the following day to vent his anger, having listened to reports of Islamist attacks on Christians in Nigeria on an ‘America Reports’ broadcast in which co-anchor John Roberts had interviewed Ryan Brown, CEO of Open Doors US, an organisation that supports Christians facing persecution around the world. In his role as a defender of the Christian faith, especially in the eyes of many American evangelicals, Trump wrote: “If the Nigerian Government continues to allow the killing of Christians, the USA will immediately stop all aid and assistance to Nigeria, and may very well go into that now disgraced country, guns-a-blazing, to completely wipe out the Islamic Terrorists who are committing these horrible atrocities.’ Nigeria’s Muslim President, Bola Ahmed Tinubu, responded on 2 November, reminding us that his country is “a democracy with constitutional guarantees of religious liberty.” His wife, Oluremi, happens to be an ordained Christian pastor. Trump’s actions follow intense lobbying by conservative Christians over attacks on Christians, their clergy, churches, and other institutions in northern Nigeria, which has led Republican Senator Ted Cruz of Texas to introduce the Nigeria Religious Freedom Accountability Act in September 2025.

 Under the circumstances, it behoves us to take a closer look into the current goings-on in Nigeria, as historical realities make for a more complex situation on the ground than that identified by President Trump. Africa’s most populous nation, with the continent’s largest Muslim population, was never a single, unified historical entity. It only came into being after the British amalgamation of the Protectorates of Northern and Southern Nigeria in 1914. Consequently, various tribes and ethnic groups were brought together in a confederation, in which a predominantly Muslim north joined up with a predominantly Christian South.  Independence came in 1960, but political instability and a succession of military coups soon followed. Separatist tendencies among the Igbo of three southeastern states led to the Biafran Civil War of 1967-1970, while anti-state activity in the oil-rich Niger Delta resulted from unhappiness over the lack of benefits to locals from the petroleum industry. Recent revival of demands for Biafran secession have added an extra dimension to Nigeria’s political troubles.

The officially secular nation of Nigeria has seen increasing conflict between Muslims and Christians since the early 1980s. The jihadist group Boko Haram (“Western Education is Forbidden”), aka Jama’atu Ahlis Sunnah Liddawa’ati w’al Jihad (People Committed to the Propagation of the Prophet’s Teaching and Jihad), emerged around 2002 and has been responsible for a campaign of violence in northeast Nigeria since July 2009, which has since spread into neighbouring Cameroon, Chad, and Niger. It gained international notoriety with the kidnap of 276 mostly Christian school girls from the northeastern town of Chibok in Borno State on the night of 14-15 April 1970. In 2015, a splinter group from Boko Haram became the West African Province of Islamic State (ISIS), aka Wilāyat Garb Ifrīqīyā. Northern Nigeria’s Muslim identity had meanwhile been strengthened by the introduction of Sharia law, Saudi Arabia-style, in Zamfara State in northwest Nigeria in October 1999, followed by eleven other northern states in 2000. Hundreds were killed in the ensuing Muslim-Christian conflicts. Much of northwest Nigeria itself has become bandit territory.

The states of the Middle Belt of north-central Nigeria have witnessed recurring territorial conflict between Muslim Fulani cattle herders and indigenous Christian farmers. Herders and farmers have encroached on each other’s lands, driven by drought-like conditions, desertification, and other environmental changes. Farmlands have been destroyed, cattle stolen, and lives lost as farmers and pastoralists attack each other. Informed observers of the Nigerian scene attribute the endemic violence within Nigeria to a combination of territorial disputes, religious tensions, and ethnic and tribal conflict. Christians and Muslims are both victims of violence, and many radical Islamist attacks have targeted Muslims.

President Trump, as is often the case, has turned to his own preferred social media platform to berate a sovereign nation and has threatened American military intervention to protect his “CHERISHED Christians.”  His assertions about Nigeria have been countered by statements to the contrary from the European Union (EU) and the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), among others. Future events will confirm whether Trump has merely resorted to intimidatory bluster or will indeed back up his words with robust military action in northern Nigeria.

Nigeria is Africa’s largest economy, blessed with large reserves of petroleum and natural gas. The nation has unfortunately been crippled by economic mismanagement, weak governance, and widespread corruption. Reform is undoubtedly necessary, but this is probably best achieved through domestic political efforts rather than by the intervention of a foreign power, whose recent track record in matters of regime reform, or even change, remains unconvincing.

Ashis Banerjee